Agunze Azuka Onwuka
If the BVAS and eTransmission of results are full deployed for the 2023 election, the result will be totally different from what we used to know. Party structure won’t help any candidate. Financial inducement won’t help.
As things stand today, #PeterObi has the upper hand by the mere fact that he is the only candidate who is sure of winning in two zones. He is the only candidate who has his own zone under control. No other candidate will get up to 25% in the Southeast. He will also win convincingly in the Southsouth, with Atiku and Tinubu struggling hard to get 25%.
In the Southwest, if Obi does not win Lagos, he will run neck and neck with Tinubu. Atiku is out of the equation there. In each of the other 5 Southwest states, Obi will win more than 25%.
In the North-Central, Obi will win Abuja and two or three other states.
In the Northeast, he will do very well in Taraba (he may even win it) and record some good showing in others. In the Northwest, he will do well in Kaduna and scrape off what is possible in others.
Atiku cannot win all the six states in his Northeast. Tinubu and Obi will fight with him there.
Tinubu cannot win clearly in his Southwest states. Obi will be breathing down his neck there.
Northwest will be an open sesame for Atiku and Tinubu and Kwankwaso, with Obi taking some percentage of votes. In Kano, especially, Kwankwaso will reduce the votes Atiku and Tinubu will get. Even if Kwankwaso decides to drop off and support Atiku or Tinubu, the votes of Kano and some other Northwest states will still be shared.
Contrary to what some people say, there won’t be any deadlock or runoff. Nigerians who want a new deal will ensure that Obi wins in the first ballot.
So there is no cause for alarm.
With the passing of each day, more people will receive the #OBIdient good news and sign up for a Nigeria where the masses are in charge, not a Nigeria of “share the money”.
#PeterIsBetter
It’s #PeteOclock!
